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PREFACE
ABSTRACT

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1£®1 Background
1£®2 Objectives
1£®3 Justifications
1£®4 Literature Review
1£®5 Organization

CHAPTER 2 SITUATIONS OF GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN CHINA
2£®1 Grain Production
2£®2 Grain Consumption
2£®3 Grain Trade
2£®4 Ending Stocks

CHAPTER 3 AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDY POLICIES IN CHINA
3£®1 Agricultural Subsidy Policies
3£®2 Changes in Input Factor Demand after the Subsidy Policies
3£®3 Changes in Input Factor Prices after the Subsidy Policies
3£®4 Characteristic and Impact Mechanism of the Subsidy Policies
3£®5 Conclusion

CHAPTER 4 DIRECT EFFECTS OF THE SUBSIDY POLICIES IN CHINA
4£® 1 Subsidy Policies and Grain Supply Responses
4£® 2 Subsidy Policies and Grain Prices

CHAPTER 5 CHINA GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND MODEL
5£®1 Production Sector
5£®2 Grain Consumption
5£®3 Trade Sector
5£®4 Price Linkages
5£®5 Market Clearance
5£®6 Model Estimation

CHAPTER 6 SIMULATIONS ON CHINA'S GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND
6£®1 Scenarios for the Policy Simulations
6£®2 Simulations for the Subsidy Policies

6£®3 Simulations for Changes in the Measurements of Grain Security
CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS ~
7£®1 Conclusion
7£®2 Policy Implications
7£®3 Suggestions for Further Research

REFERENCES
APPENDICES
Appendix 1 Balance of rice supply and demand
Appendix 2 Balance of wheat supply and demand
Appendix 3 Balance of corn supply and demand