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PART ONEThe Unsolved Mystery in China’s Economic Community
1Origin of the Problem/ 00
1ª±1Chinese Miracle: The 30 Years of High Economic Growth Rate/ 00
1ª±1ª±1Rapid Growth of Economic Strength/ 00
1ª±1ª±2Transition from Agricultural Economy to Modern Industrial Economy/ 00
1ª±1ª±3“Bringing In” and “Going Out” of International Trade/ 00
1ª±1ª±4From Subsistence to Moderate Prosperity/ 0
1ª±2The Reasons of China’s High Economic Growth/ 0
1ª±2ª±1High Fertility Rate Saving Huge Surplus Labor/ 0
1ª±2ª±2Successfully Integrating Surplus Labor Advantage into Global Industrial Chain/ 0
1ª±2ª±3Entrepreneurship and Innovation by Population as Major Economic Force/ 0
1ª±3The Slowdown of Economic Growth Since 2008/ 0
1ª±3ª±1Industrial Product Turning into Overall Surplus/ 0
1ª±3ª±2Downturn and an Abrupt Slowdown of Consumption and Investment/ 0
1ª±3ª±3Traditional Export Advantage Exhausting Gradually/ 0
2Two Theories of Economic Downturn and Doubts/ 0
2ª±1The Economy Should Not Enter Intermediate Speed of Growth/ 0
2ª±1ª±1The Logic and Policy View of “Medium Growth as Normal”/ 0
2ª±1ª±2Discussion over “Medium Growth as Normal”/ 0
2ª±2Economic Downturn Is Not Caused by External Factors/ 0
2ª±2ª±1The Logic and Policy View of “External Causes of Economic Downturn”/ 0
2ª±2ª±2Discussion over “External Causes of Economic Downturn”/ 0



Contents

PART TWOAcademic Debate and Historical Evolution
3Population and Development: Theoretical Review and Facts/ 0
3ª±1The Review and Discussion of the Relationship Theory of Population and Economy/ 0
3ª±1ª±1Moderate Population Theory and Its View of Birth Control/ 0
3ª±1ª±2“The Limits to Growth” and Pessimistic View of Population and Resources/ 0
3ª±1ª±3Basic Process of Family Planning under Market Mechanism/ 0
3ª±1ª±4Reviews of Literature on Population Mobility and Economic Growth/ 0
3ª±2Population Growth and Industrial Development/ 0
3ª±2ª±1Population Growth as Necessity of Industrialization/ 0
3ª±2ª±2Transition of Population Growth as Outcome of Industrialization/ 0
3ª±3Population Flow, Urbanization and Industrial Development/ 0
3ª±3ª±1Population Mobility Speeding up Urbanization Process/ 0
3ª±3ª±2Interactions between Urbanization and Industrialization/ 0
3ª±4The Dynamic and Coordinated Development of Population, Industrialization and Ecological Environment/ 0
3ª±4ª±1Harmonious Development between Population Growth and Resources/ 0
3ª±4ª±2Harmonious Development among Population Growth, Industrialization and Ecological Environment/ 0
3ª±4ª±3Dynamic Development among Population Growth, Industrialization and Ecological Environment/ 0
4Reproductive Right and Migration Right/ 0
4ª±1The Definition of Reproductive Right and Migration Right/ 0
4ª±1ª±1Dispute over ownership of Reproductive Right between Family and Government/ 0
4ª±1ª±2Different Arrangement of Migration Right between Family and Government/ 0
4ª±2The Economic Analysis of Birth Rate/
4ª±2ª±1Economic Explanation of Reproductive Right/
4ª±2ª±2Economic Discussion over Exercise of Reproductive Right/
4ª±3The Economic Analysis of Migration Right/
4ª±3ª±1Economic Explanation of Migration Right/
4ª±3ª±2Economic Discussion over Exercise of Migration Right/
5Experience in the World: The Distribution Based on Different Reproductive Right and Migration Right/
5ª±1The International Experience Based on Different Reproductive Right/
5ª±1ª±1Nonintervention Experience of the United States/
5ª±1ª±2Instructive Birth Control in Japan and Its Economic Up and Down/
5ª±1ª±3History of Instructive Birth Control in Korea/
5ª±1ª±4Instructive Birth Control in Taiwan/
5ª±1ª±5Miscarriage of Birth Control in India/
5ª±1ª±6International Experience of Different Arrangement of Reproductive Right/
5ª±2The International Experience Based on Different Migration Right/
5ª±2ª±1Free Migration of Population in the United States/
5ª±2ª±2Reproductive Right and Residential Registration in Japan/
5ª±2ª±3Free Migration of Population and Floating Population Management in France/
5ª±2ª±4Migration of Population and Low Mobility in Russia/
5ª±2ª±5Migration of Population and Formation of Slum Problem in India/
5ª±2ª±6International Experience of Different Arrangement of Migration of Population/

PART THREEThe Economic Consequence of China’s Population Planning System
6“Population Pit” and the Trap of Economic Growth/
6ª±1The Depth of “Population Pit” and The Time Length of High Economic Growth/
6ª±1ª±1“Population Pit” at Industrialization Stage and Economic Growth/
6ª±1ª±2“Population Pit” and Economic Slowdown in China/
6ª±2The Influence of the Change of Population Growth on Economic Growth Rate/
6ª±2ª±1Immediate Influence: Population Growth over Economic Growth/
6ª±2ª±2Long-term Influence: Theory of 20-year Delay Effect of Population Growth/
7The Economic Consequence of Unbalanced and Aging Population Structure/
7ª±1Population Structure, Huge Economic Change and the Fluctuation of Increase/
7ª±1ª±1Arithmetical Relationship between Population Structure and Consumption, Investment and Export Fluctuation/
7ª±1ª±2Population Change Leads to National Economic Downturn as Waves/
7ª±2The Downward and Aging Pressure on Economy in the Future/
7ª±2ª±1Long-term Economic Downward Pressure of National Economy/
7ª±2ª±2Numerous Difficulties from Aggravating Population Aging/

PART FOURThe Economic Consequence of China’s Population Flow Regulation System
8The Barriers and Problems of Population Entering Cities and Exiting Rural Areas/
8ª±1The Entry Barriers of theCitizenization of Migrant Population/
8ª±1ª±1Transition of Household Registration System and Population Movement in China/
8ª±1ª±2Inequality of Social Securities and Public Services/
8ª±2The Exit Barriers of Rural Property for Migrant Workers in Cities/
8ª±2ª±1Exit Barriers and Opportunity Cost for Farmers as Rational Economic Man/
8ª±2ª±2Dilemma of Renting to Exit and Comparison with Other Methods/
8ª±2ª±3Complexity of Rural Land System and Fraud of Acquisition as State-owned/
9The Twist of Urbanization Process and Consumption Downfall/
9ª±1“Out at Young Age and Return at Old Age” and Drifting in Cities/
9ª±1ª±1Frequent Migration of Population among Multiple Destinations between Rural and Urban Areas in Pendulum Mode/
9ª±1ª±2Population Migration between Rural and Urban Areas as “Out at Young Age and Return at Old Age”/
9ª±1ª±3Drifting Migrant Workers in Cities instead of Returning to Rural Areas/
9ª±1ª±4Urbanization with Citizenization in Most Countries/
9ª±2The Restriction on Urban Consumption and the Downfall of Rural Consumption/
9ª±2ª±1System with Intervention over Floating Population Which Restraining Consumption/
9ª±2ª±2Process of “Out at Young Age and Return at Old Age” and Consumption Downfall in Rural Areas/

Conclusion/
References/